Current and Past Chairs of ESRA in this millenium
 
 
           
Marko Čepin
Terje Aven
 Enrico Zio
Ioannis A. Papazoglou
 Carlos Guedes Soares
Jean-Pierre Signoret 
2018 -             2014 - 2018   2010 - 2014   2005 - 2010   2001 - 2005   1999 - 2001 
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New ESRA webinar
 
 

The latest “ESRA webinar” was given by Prof. Mitra Foularidad, of Ecole Centrale de Marseille on a foundational topic concerning models predictions and uncertainties, on April 6th, 12.00-13.00 CET  (Click here for the slides).  

 Prediction: thorough uncertain models rather than imperfect exact models 

 In presence of data (measurements, observations, simulations), the prediction of a physical phenomenon evolution can be carried out by using statistical models. These models can take into account the underlying physical model or completely neglect this latter but offer a relatively precise prediction with confidence bounds.  These models permit to take into account the uncertainties and randomness related to the parameters, environmental, experimental or usage conditions. The prediction will be proposed with confidence bounds and sensitivity analysis can be carried out. The parameters of these models can be updated based on available new data and an on-line adaptative prediction can be proposed. Statistical models, less expensive in computation time, permit the prediction in cases where deterministic models are not able to give results due to the computation time or due to the complexity of the model in presence of unknown factors and parameters. The relevance of statistical models is essentially linked to the quality and size of available data. We go through some case studies to highlight the interest of these models.

About the speaker: Mitra Fouladirad is Full professor in mathematical modelling for Reliability, Prognosis and Maintenance. After 15 years in University Technology of Troyes focusing in PHM and Maintenance modelling in collaboration with industry she joined in 2021 the Ecole Centrale Marseille in France. Her main focus is in condition-based and predictive maintenance modelling tasking into account  different source of uncertainty. She is one the maintenance technical chairs of ESRA and she participates actively to ESREL since 2007. 

 
   
 
 
ESREL 2022
 
 

ESRA is happy to announce our key annual event for knowledge exchange: the European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2022) in Dublin, Ireland from 28th August - 1st September 2022. Please visit the ESREL 2022 webpage to stay updated and join the event.

 

Over 600 abstracts have been submitted, with more than 30 special sessions being organized. A great program is shaping up! 

 
   
 
 
43rd International Summer School of Automatic Control - Grenoble, France - September, 5-9, 2022
 
 

43rd International Summer School of Automatic Control - Grenoble, France - September, 5-9, 2022

Reliability And Maintenance Of Dynamic Systems: Advanced Methods And Recent Developments

 

The objective of this one-week summer school is to introduce the participants to the different approaches recently developed in the field of dependability of dynamic systems, in response to recent evolutions both in the addressed systems and in the used disciplines and tools. Approaches to dependability have been indeed confronted with a paradigm shift, due to increasingly complex, monitored and controlled systems and to the emergence of the use of new disciplines (e.g. artificial intelligence) in reliability and maintenance. This paradigm shift has profoundly modified the vision of systems reliability and dependability, leading to the emergence of new approaches: PHM (Prognostic and Health Management), Predictive Maintenance, RxM (Prescriptive Maintenance), Reliability-Aware Control or Degradation-Aware Control, Post-Prognosis Decision Making, etc. The participants will be trained in the tools and methods on which these approaches are based and the school will consist of a series of surveys, lectures and research talks taught in English, completed by a series of applications sessions on the following themes:

Reliability, maintenance and safety: old problems, classical methods and new challenges

Dynamic reliability modelling with application to the resilience of critical infrastructures

Prognostics and health management: from monitoring to post-prognostics decision-making

Artificial intelligence approaches to reliability and predictive maintenance

Reliability and degradation aware control, RUL control and reliability adaptive systems

Reliability and safety of autonomous systems

Advances methods for stochastic deterioration and (imperfect) maintenance modelling

Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) and damage aware active control

The school is mainly intended for PhD students, researchers and industrial participants wishing to initiate, consolidate or reorient their research project in the field of reliability and maintenance of dynamic systems.

For more information : http://www.gipsa-lab.fr/summerschool/AUTO22/

Contact : christophe.berenguer@grenoble-inp.fr

 
   
 
 
News
 
 

ESRA has a new Technical Committee

Decision Making under Uncertainty

 

Please see the ESRA Board here

 

See past and recent newsletters here

 

 

 
   
 
 
Past webinars
 
 

- Humans and Risk, Reliability, Resilience Models

   by senior scientist Dr. Luca Podofillini, 29 November 2017

 

- A tutorial on global sensitivity analysis for risk and reliability modelling

   by Professor Emanuele Borgonovo, 11 May 2017

 

- Alternative approaches to the treatment of epistemic uncertainties in risk assessment

   by Professor Michael Beer, 2 November 2016

 

- Challenges and opportunities in reliability engineering: the big KID (Knowledge,

   Information and Data) 

   by Professor Enrico Zio, 14 June 2016

 

- What is risk?

   by Professor Terje Aven, 17 March 2016


 
   
 

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